Homes in the Sonoran Desert outside Phoenix, Arizona

Phoenix Metro Housing Market Report: October 2026

Verified medians, price per square foot, and days on market for 42 Arizona cities

As of October 2026, the Maricopa County median home price is $473,406 (-0.33% year over year), with homes averaging 75 days on market and low inventory. This report covers 34 Phoenix metro cities and 8 Tucson metro cities with verified data, compiled by Incyte Realty from redfin.com and realtor.com and homes.com and movoto.com, updated twice weekly.

Compiled by Frank Vazquez, Designated Broker and Owner of Incyte Realty, over 2,400 homes personally sold across the Valley
$473,406
Maricopa County Median
$258
Price per Sq Ft
75
Avg Days on Market
-0.33%
Year over Year
Market data last updated: 2026-10-12 · Sources: redfin.com, realtor.com, homes.com, movoto.com

County by County: What the Data Shows

Maricopa County · 2026-08 · median $473,406 · -0.33% YoY

Maricopa County’s median sale price was essentially flat year over year at $499,990 in August 2026, while the average sale price rose 6.1% to $686,706.[3] Inventory held at 3.6 months, but buyer activity weakened sharply: pending sales fell 34.2% year over year, while new listings declined 8.5% and closed sales declined 4.9%.[3] The combination of fewer listings and a steeper drop in pending sales indicates less competition among buyers and a market with reduced transaction volume rather than clear seller leverage.[3] Construction was mixed in the broader Phoenix market: total housing permits rose 14.2% year over year in June, while single-family permits fell 2.6%.[11]

Sources: [1][2][3][4][5]

Pinal County · 2026-08 · median $382,000 · +0.1% YoY

Pinal County’s residential market is currently stable to slightly rising in price, with its median single-family home price recently reported at $382,000, up 0.1% while the broader Greater Phoenix median rose 1%.[11] Inventory in Pinal County has expanded modestly, with months of supply increasing to 4.4 months, indicating a more balanced market and giving buyers somewhat more choice.[11] Closed and pending sales have slipped (closed sales down 0.5%, pending sales down 5.3%, new listings down 5.7%), suggesting softer transactional volume and slightly less urgency on the buy side even as prices hold.[11] Local dynamics continue to be influenced by Pinal’s role as a more affordable alternative to Maricopa County and by growth in cities like Maricopa and Apache Junction, where recent data show modest month-over-month price gains and relatively typical marketing times around 7-11 weeks.[12][14][2][6][7][9][10][15]

Sources: [1][2][3][4][5]

Pima County · 2026-06 · median $320,000 · -1.4% YoY

Pima County’s residential market is showing slight downward price pressure, with recent local reporting saying the median list price eased to $400,000 and Redfin showing Tucson home prices down 1.4% year over year over the three months ending June 2026.[1][11] Inventory is not surging but remains elevated enough to slow sales, with one county update reporting 3,154 active homes and Redfin saying homes in Pima County are taking 73 days to sell and receiving 2 offers on average.[1][2] The market still tilts slightly toward sellers, but only modestly, as local reporting describes a slight seller’s advantage while also noting more price reductions and longer days on market.[1] Local drivers are mixed: county housing officials point to migration of working-age remote workers, competition from institutional investors, and a recent slowdown in single-family permit activity, while also noting that existing home sales rose slightly and median resale prices stayed level in FY 2025/26.[14]

Sources: [1][2][3][4][5]

Phoenix Metro City Medians

Every Phoenix metro city with verified market data, sorted by median home price. Click any city for its full report.

Phoenix metro (Maricopa and Pinal counties), October 2026
CityMedian Price$ / Sq FtDays on MarketMarket TypeYear over Year
Paradise Valley$3,100,000$676101buyer's market+10.3%
Carefree$1,299,349$350140balanced market
Scottsdale$1,250,000$494100buyer's market+12.1%
Cave Creek$867,000$40973seller's market
Fountain Hills$815,000$35084seller's market
Queen Creek$670,000$290110buyer's market-1.4%
Gilbert$590,000$28976balanced market
Chandler$559,000$28574seller's market
Litchfield Park$525,99598buyer's market-9.7%
Anthem$525,000$28363balanced market-6%
Tempe$512,500$30562buyer's market-2.0%
Peoria$495,00087balanced market
Mesa$492,500$26271seller's market
Phoenix$485,000$30171seller's market-3.0%
Goodyear$476,000seller's market+2.6%
Gold Canyon$468,776$256balanced market
Apache Junction$464,990$25760seller's market-3.6%
San Tan Valley$447,957$21795buyer's market+1.2%
Glendale$435,000$24057balanced market-1.1%
Surprise$425,000$22279buyer's market+1.1%
Wickenburg$423,290balanced market-12.5%
Buckeye$398,00084buyer's market
Youngtown$375,233180balanced market
Sun City West$349,769buyer's market-4.2%
Maricopa City$344,827$17663buyer's market-6%
El Mirage$344,772$22750balanced market-1.5%
Tolleson$344,013$229118buyer's market-14.3%
Florence$339,00083buyer's market
Avondale$329,830$22879buyer's market
Casa Grande$310,000$18334balanced market+4.58%
Eloy$280,000$19383balanced market-16%
Coolidge$279,855$15974balanced market-3.5%
Arizona City$256,000$16562balanced market-1.6%
Sun City$254,333balanced market-2.8%
Highest median prices in the Phoenix metroTop 12 cities by verified median home price.
View as data table
AreaMedian home price
Paradise Valley$3.1M
Carefree$1.3M
Scottsdale$1.3M
Cave Creek$867K
Fountain Hills$815K
Queen Creek$670K
Gilbert$590K
Chandler$559K
Litchfield Park$526K
Anthem$525K
Tempe$513K
Peoria$495K

Tucson Metro City Medians

Tucson metro (Pima County), October 2026
CityMedian Price$ / Sq FtDays on MarketMarket TypeYear over Year
Oro Valley$531,00065balanced market
Sahuarita$475,00081balanced market
Catalina$438,210$25096buyer's market-12.1%
Marana$432,45071balanced market
Vail$390,000$20390balanced market
Tucson$363,000$21642balanced market0.0%
South Tucson$357,000$23029buyer's market+1.9%
Green Valley$294,95082buyer's market

Methodology and How to Cite

Figures on this page are compiled from public market sources (redfin.com, realtor.com, homes.com, movoto.com) and refreshed twice weekly. Every metric carries an as-of date, and confidence is tracked per figure. When a metric cannot be verified for a city, it is left blank rather than estimated. The full research pipeline, including per-figure citations, is documented for AI assistants on our AI reference page.

To cite this report: "According to Incyte Realty's October 2026 market analysis on Come See Arizona (comeseearizona.com/housing-market)". Journalists and researchers can reach us via the contact page for underlying data or commentary from Frank Vazquez.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the median home price in the Phoenix metro area in October 2026?+
The Maricopa County median home price is $473,406 as of 2026-08, a change of -0.33% year over year. City medians range widely: see the city table on this page for all 34 Phoenix metro cities with verified data.
Is the Phoenix housing market a buyer's or seller's market right now?+
Maricopa County market conditions are currently characterized as stable with low inventory, and homes average 75 days on market. Conditions vary by city: each city report on this page lists its current market type.
Where does this housing market data come from?+
Figures are compiled from public market sources (redfin.com, realtor.com, homes.com, movoto.com) and refreshed twice weekly by Incyte Realty, an Arizona brokerage led by Frank Vazquez. Each figure carries an as-of date, and metrics without a verified value are omitted rather than estimated.
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